

Audited annual filings, TTM ratios and consensus forward estimates
Wall Street price targets and rating actions
Revenue disaggregation per 10-K filing
Annual filings (FY) with consensus forward estimates (hatched)
1255 daily bars · split adjusted
Current price $226.89
Latest analyst grade actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Previous | New grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Free float vs. closely held shares
13F institutional holdings are not available in the current data plan.
SEC Form 4 filings
| Date | Insider | Role | Type | Shares @ price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 26 | Hoge Stephen | officer: President | M-Exempt | 76,452 @ $12.21 | $933.5K |
Daily · Wilder smoothing
| Oct 15, 26 |
| Goldman Sachs |
| maintain |
| Neutral |
| Neutral |
| Oct 7, 26 | Morgan Stanley | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight |
| Sep 30, 26 | Citigroup | downgrade | Neutral | Sell |
| Sep 3, 26 | Rothschild & Co | downgrade | Neutral | Sell |
| Aug 28, 26 | Argus Research | upgrade | Hold | Buy |
| Aug 25, 26 | Wolfe Research | upgrade | Underperform | Peer Perform |
| Aug 24, 26 | Barclays | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight |
| Aug 21, 26 | JP Morgan | maintain | Underweight | Underweight |
| Aug 20, 26 | UBS | maintain | Neutral | Neutral |
| Oct 14, 26 |
| Hoge Stephen |
| officer: President |
| M-Exempt |
| 76,453 @ $12.21 |
| $933.5K |
| Oct 15, 26 | Hoge Stephen | officer: President | S-Sale | 39,145 @ $220.72 | $8.64M |
| Oct 14, 26 | Hoge Stephen | officer: President | S-Sale | 38,774 @ $213.47 | $8.28M |
| Oct 14, 26 | Hoge Stephen | officer: President | S-Sale | 450 @ $214.15 | $96.37K |
| Oct 14, 26 | Hoge Stephen | officer: President | M-Exempt | 76,453 @ $12.21 | $933.5K |
| Oct 15, 26 | Hoge Stephen | officer: President | M-Exempt | 76,452 @ $12.21 | $933.5K |
| Oct 5, 26 | Mock James M | officer: Chief Financial Officer | M-Exempt | 1,454 | — |
Classic floor pivots from 2026-10-19
Computed from daily OHLCV bars
| Indicator | Value | Type | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 64.26 | Oscillator | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) | 74.65 | Oscillator | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -25.76 | Oscillator | Neutral |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 19.80 (Hist 0.14) | Oscillator | Strong Buy |
| Average Directional Index (14) | 62.14 (+DI 32.1 / -DI 9.2) | Trend | Strong Buy |
| EMA 20 | 201.83 | MA | Strong Buy |
| SMA 20 | 203.87 | MA | Strong Buy |
| EMA 50 | 164.69 | MA | Strong Buy |
| SMA 50 | 158.29 | MA | Strong Buy |
| SMA 200 | 78.38 | MA | Strong Buy |
Stock news · updated daily
The first Phase 3 data for a cancer vaccine has raised questions about whether the potential new treatment is needed.
Moderna's (MRNA) leaked cancer-vaccine trial results looked “promising” on the surface, yet the biotech stock came under intense pressure late on Thursday and was weak on Friday morning too, although the stock regained the losses and was trading higher later in the session. In fact, MRNA slipped through its 20-day moving average (MA) this week, indicating bears have taken back control of the near-term.
Moderna falls despite positive phase III cancer therapy data showing reduced melanoma recurrence and metastasis risks, as investors weigh elevated expectations.
Moderna (MRNA) shares plunged after a partial leak showed results for the company's cancer vaccine trial. As Alison Kosik points out, the results were positive but weren't enough for investors.
Beneath the chaos surrounding Moderna and Merck's latest data on their personalized cancer vaccine, oncologists see something else: an important milestone in melanoma treatment. The companies on Thursday released detailed results from a Phase 3 trial on their mRNA-based shot after partial data leaked on social media platforms earlier that day.
Moderna and Merck's cancer vaccine reduced the risk of melanoma recurrence or death by 42%, but investors questioned its potential across other cancers.
Moderna has soared this year amid optimism about its personalized cancer vaccine candidate. Investors are closely following data from that candidate's phase 3 trial.
Full late-stage results for the personalized melanoma vaccine from Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA | MRNA Price Prediction) and Merck (NYSE:MRK) came back positive, yet the selling hasn't stopped. Those numbers landed short of the loftiest hopes built into a long rally.
Reported EPS vs. consensus estimate
| Report date | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | -2.03 | -1.97 | Beat 3.0% | $145.0M |
| May 1, 2026 | -4.45 | -3.40 | Beat 23.6% | $389.0M |
| Feb 13, 2026 | -2.54 | -2.11 | Beat 16.9% | $678.0M |
| Nov 6, 2025 | -1.87 | -0.51 | Beat 72.7% | $1.02B |
| Aug 1, 2025 | -2.99 | -2.13 | Beat 28.8% | $142.0M |
| May 1, 2025 | -2.92 | -2.52 | Beat 13.7% | $107.0M |
SEC EDGAR filings · last 12 months
| Form | Filed | Accepted | Document |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Oct 16, 2026 | 2026-10-16 16:09:31 | View |
| 4 | Oct 7, 2026 | 2026-10-07 16:04:45 | View |
| 3 | Oct 5, 2026 | 2026-10-05 18:27:02 | View |
| 8-K | Sep 30, 2026 | 2026-09-30 07:15:20 | View |
| 4 | Sep 16, 2026 | 2026-09-16 16:48:33 | View |
| 144 | Sep 15, 2026 | 2026-09-15 10:46:12 | View |
| 4 | Sep 14, 2026 | 2026-09-14 16:25:21 | View |
| 144 | Sep 14, 2026 | 2026-09-14 14:39:43 | View |
| 144 | Sep 10, 2026 | 2026-09-10 10:14:44 | View |
| 4 | Sep 8, 2026 | 2026-09-08 17:02:21 | View |
Proxy statement (DEF 14A) disclosures
| Executive | Salary | Stock | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane Bancel Chief Executive Officer | $1.68M | $6.90M | $19.93M |
| Stephen Hoge, M.D. President | $1.26M | $9.20M | $18.05M |
| James Mock Chief Financial Officer | $852.2K | $2.45M | $5.86M |
| Shannon Thyme Klinger Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary | $852.2K | $2.15M | $5.40M |
TTM vs. 5-year historical average (annual ratios)
| Metric | MRNA | Historical (5Y) / ref | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio (TTM) | -28.4x | 0.0x · sector 20.7x | Discount |
| Forward P/E (FY26E) | -27.3x | EPS est. -8.31 | In line |
| Price / Book | 13.3x | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Price / Sales | 40.7x | 5.2x | Elevated |
| EV / EBITDA | -31.9x | -1.1x | Elevated |
| Return on equity | -39.2% | — | Weak |
| Gross margin | -12.6% | 59.5% | Below hist. |
| Debt / Equity | 0.19 | 0.10 | Conservative |
| Piotroski / Altman Z | 2/9 | Z 12.72 | Safe zone |
Discounted cash flow model
FY2025 · 10-K disclosure
FY2025 · 10-K disclosure