Audited annual filings, TTM ratios and consensus forward estimates
Wall Street price targets and rating actions
Revenue disaggregation per 10-K filing
Annual filings (FY) with consensus forward estimates (hatched)
Current price $481.77
Latest analyst grade actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Previous | New grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 26 | BMO Capital | maintain | Market Perform | Market Perform |
| Oct 22, 26 | Morgan Stanley | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight |
| Oct 22, 26 | Stifel | maintain | Buy | Buy |
| Oct 22, 26 | B of A Securities | maintain | Buy | Buy |
| Oct 22, 26 | Wells Fargo | maintain | Overweight | Overweight |
| Oct 16, 26 | RBC Capital | maintain | Outperform | Outperform |
| Oct 14, 26 | JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | Overweight |
| Oct 13, 26 | BMO Capital | maintain | Market Perform | Market Perform |
| Oct 7, 26 | Morgan Stanley | maintain | Equal Weight | Equal Weight |
Free float vs. closely held shares
13F institutional holdings are not available in the current data plan.
SEC Form 4 filings
| Date | Insider | Role | Type | Shares @ price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 26 | Minaya Jose | director | A-Award | 92 | — |
| Oct 1, 26 | Phillips Jason D | officer: Chief Acctg Off & Controller | F-InKind | 21 @ $450.80 | $9.63K |
| Oct 1, 26 | Fauber Robert | director, officer: President and CEO | M-Exempt | 572 @ $167.50 | $95.81K |
| Oct 1, 26 | Fauber Robert | director, officer: President and CEO | M-Exempt | 51 @ $113.34 | $5.78K |
| Oct 1, 26 | Fauber Robert | director, officer: President and CEO | S-Sale | 623 @ $455.00 | $283.5K |
| Oct 1, 26 | Fauber Robert | director, officer: President and CEO | M-Exempt | 51 @ $113.34 | $5.78K |
| Oct 1, 26 | Fauber Robert | director, officer: President and CEO | M-Exempt | 572 @ $167.50 | $95.81K |
| Sep 4, 26 | Van Saun Bruce | director | A-Award | 13 | — |
FY2025 · 10-K disclosure
FY2025 · 10-K disclosure
Stock news · updated daily
Moody's Corporation is downgraded to 'Sell' after years of underperformance and a deteriorating business mix. MCO's growth has slowed, with Q3 revenue up just 1% and operating margins declining, reflecting weaker fundamentals. Valuation is demanding at nearly 30x forward earnings, despite muted growth prospects and a less attractive revenue mix.
AI infrastructure issuance increased fourfold from the prior year's third quarter. Refinancing needs across the U.S. and EMEA top $5 trillion.
TTM vs. 5-year historical average (annual ratios)
| Metric | MCO | Historical (5Y) / ref | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio (TTM) | 29.3x | 38.7x · sector 20.4x | Elevated |
| Forward P/E (FY26E) | 28.7x | EPS est. 16.77 | In line |
| Price / Book | 25.5x | 23.1x | In line |
| Price / Sales | 10.2x | 11.4x | In line |
| EV / EBITDA | 23.1x | 26.3x | In line |
| Return on equity | 86.4% | — | Top tier |
| Gross margin | 73.1% | 66.7% | In line |
| Debt / Equity | 2.29 | 2.45 | Levered |
| Piotroski / Altman Z | 8/9 | Z 7.69 | Safe zone |
Discounted cash flow model
Moody's Corporation remains a high-quality, cash-generative franchise, but its current 28-30x P/E valuation is difficult to justify. Q3 '26 results confirm slowing revenue growth (1%) and declining transaction revenues (-5%), with earnings guidance intact but below market expectations. AI is a useful tool for MCO but does not warrant the current valuation premium; the business remains fundamentally sound with limited operational risks.
Reported EPS vs. consensus estimate
| Report date | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | 4.25 | 4.14 | Miss -2.6% | $2.02B |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 4.26 | 4.68 | Beat 9.9% | $2.19B |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 4.22 | 4.33 | Beat 2.6% | $2.08B |
| Feb 18, 2026 | 3.43 | 3.64 | Beat 6.1% | $1.89B |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3.70 | 3.92 | Beat 5.9% | $2.01B |
| Jul 23, 2025 | 3.39 | 3.56 | Beat 5.0% | $1.90B |
| 4 | Oct 2, 2026 | 2026-10-02 16:04:48 | View |
| 4 | Oct 2, 2026 | 2026-10-02 16:04:03 | View |
| 4 | Sep 8, 2026 | 2026-09-08 16:03:42 | View |
| 4 | Sep 8, 2026 | 2026-09-08 16:03:20 | View |
| 4 | Sep 8, 2026 | 2026-09-08 16:02:56 | View |
| 4 | Sep 8, 2026 | 2026-09-08 16:02:32 | View |
Proxy statement (DEF 14A) disclosures
1255 daily bars · split adjusted
Daily · Wilder smoothing
Classic floor pivots from 2026-10-23
Computed from daily OHLCV bars
| Indicator | Value | Type | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55.62 | Oscillator | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) | 81.96 | Oscillator | Sell |
| Williams %R (14) | -24.53 | Oscillator | Neutral |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 3.55 (Hist 3.48) | Oscillator | Strong Buy |
| Average Directional Index (14) | 20.44 (+DI 30.0 / -DI 21.8) | Trend | Buy |
| EMA 20 | 472.96 | MA | Buy |
| SMA 20 | 465.38 | MA | Strong Buy |
| EMA 50 | 473.47 | MA | Buy |
| SMA 50 | 477.80 | MA | Buy |
| SMA 200 | 468.04 | MA | Buy |